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DTN Midday Livestock Comments 10/12 11:40
Livestock Traders Gingerly Enter the New Week
Following last week's exciting rally, the cattle contracts are now trading
lower, hoping that fundamental support will reassure them that last week's move
was wise.
ShayLe Stewart
DTN Livestock Analyst
GENERAL COMMENTS:
Take a more cautious approach to Monday's market following the big gains
seen late last week in the cattle complex; both the live cattle and feeder
cattle contracts are trading lower into midday Monday. New showlists for the
week are lighter in Texas and Kansas, but steady in Nebraska. December corn is
up 3 3/4 cents per bushel and December soybean meal is up $2.70. The Dow Jones
Industrial Average is up 257.80 points and the NASDAQ is down 59.98 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
Following last week's bold rally on Friday, fueled by the excitement and
hope that the fed cash cattle market may be able to hold steady, the live
cattle contracts are now trading lower as traders hope that some fundamental
support will arise this week to complement the move. October live cattle are
down $0.72 at $224.25, December live cattle are down $0.97 at $226.10 and
February live cattle are down $0.45 at $229.02. New showlists for the week are
lighter in Texas and Kansas, but steady in Nebraska. No cash cattle trade has
developed yet this week, and it's most likely that trade will be delayed until
later in the week.
Boxed beef prices are higher: choice up $1.93 ($375.28) and select up $0.47
($354.77) with a movement of 42 loads (23.22 loads of choice, 5.43 loads of
select, 5.77 loads of trim and 7.44 loads of ground beef).
FEEDER CATTLE:
Following last Friday's powerful rally, which pushed the feeder cattle
contracts mostly $7.00 higher, the feeder cattle contracts are taking a more
cautious approach to Monday's open as traders would like to see some
fundamental support to ensure them that they made a sound decision late last
week. October feeder cattle are down $1.82 at $342.02, November feeder cattle
are down $1.97 at $339.97 and January feeder cattle are down $0.97 at $335.37.
And unless the live cattle contracts turn higher, it's unlikely that the feeder
cattle contracts will change their direction later this afternoon.
LEAN HOGS:
Following last week's descent, the lean hog contracts have found some light
trader support in Monday's market. October lean hogs are up $0.27 at $75.32,
December lean hogs are up $0.77 at $68.60 and February lean hogs are up $1.00
at $70.25. But it is worth noting that pork cutout values are up over $4.00
this morning -- which has been the market's Achilles' heel as traders yearn to
see stronger consumer demand. The projected lean hog index for 10/9/2026 is
down $1.10 at $76.51 and the actual index for 10/8/2026 is down $0.80 at
$77.61. Hog prices are unavailable on the Daily Direct Morning Hog Report
because of confidentiality. However, we can see that only 362 head have traded
and that the market's five-day rolling average sits at $74.79. Pork cutouts
total 149.30 loads, with 136.36 loads of pork cuts and 12.95 loads of trim.
Pork cutout values: up $4.72, $85.22.
ShayLe Stewart can be reached shayle.stewart@dtn.com
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